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tv   CNN Newsroom  CNN  October 31, 2010 12:00am-1:00am EST

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the other language that would be a huge advantage anywhere is math. if you are good at math, you will bable to manipulate data, algorithms, symbol, graphs, balance sheets and all of these skills are the essential skills for a knowledge-based economy. i could go on, but you will have your own ideas about how to stay competitive and how you have stayed competitive. send them to us by e-mail. that is our show for today. thank you for being part of it. i will see you all next sunday morning at 10:00 a.m. eastern and pacific. now, live from the cnn election center, wolf blitzer. >> thank you very much for joining us. we want to welcome our viewers from the united states and
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around the world. just under 73 hours till the polls start closing on tuesday night here in the united states. 7:00 p.m. eastern. six states the polls will close, including kentucky, that big race for the u.s. senate. at 7:30, ohio, north carolina, west virginia will close. at 8:00 p.m., 15 states plus d.c., 9:00 p.m. 14 state also be closing. 10:00 p.m., five states, at midnight, the poll also close in hawaii. at 1:00 a.m., alaska. a race a lot of us are looking forward to, involving lisa murkowski, who will be a write-in candidate facing joe miller, the tea party candidate and scott mcadams the democrat. we have correspondents covering all of the political races. today has been an exciting day as the candidates have a chance to wrap up their final arguments to the voters out there.
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we'll check in with all of our correspondents in a moment. joe johns is here with the best political team on television. john king is over at our election matrix. going to be a new opportunity to see what's going on in the country. let's begin in connecticut. that's where the president was campaigning today. and he went after the republican leader in the u.s. senate, mitch mcconnell. >> he didn't say jobs was his top priority. improving the economy was his top priority. his top priority was beating me. that's the kind of attitude we're fighting against, bridgeport. that's the kind of politics that we've got to change. a politics that says it's all about scoring points rather than solving problems. and that's where all of you come in, because the only way to
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fight this cynicism, the only way to match the millions of dollars of negative ads that special interests are pouring in is with millions of voices. those of you who are ready to finish what we started in 2008. so we need you to get out and vote. if everybody who voted in 2008 shows up in 2010, man, we will win this election. we will win this election. >> let's go to connecticut right now with our correspondent dana bash who has been covering this part of the story for us. the president is trying to get these democrats elected but for many of them, it's an uphill struggle. not necessarily in connecticut i take it? >> not necessarily in connecticut. this is one that i think
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president obama may have wanted to come to so that he can have a victory in his column, because it looks in talking to republican and democratic sources like this is a done deal for the democratic candidate for senate, richard blumenthal. he started in pennsylvania campaigning for joe sestak. he is going to have a rally at a race that is very symbolic and near and dear to his heart, it's his own senate seat that is also neck and neck. tomorrow he's going to have his final of four campaign rallies this weekend in ohio. and the message at the end there was classic and sums up what he's trying to do here. he's trying very, very hard, especially in cities to make sure that the democrats who came out and who are the least bit interested in getting out there now. remember, they liked barack obama two years ago, to it is all about trying to energize those people right now. >> did that crowd seem energized in connecticut where the
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president was together with you today? >> they did. they did seem energized. it's hard to tell how many people were here. this arena fits 10,000. i think maybe 8,000 people showed up, which is a pretty significant number. he did have one moment where he was interrupted and he was visibly unhappy by some protestors that we've seen at other rallies that were complaining about not enough being spent to fight aids. but the people here seemed energized. the question is whether or not they're going to tell their friends, remember, we heard him today, he said the work isn't done and we can't turn back the hands of time back to republicans. the question is whether enough of those people is going to get out there, not so much in connecticut but pennsylvania and ohio where he's going to visit tomorrow. >> the president doing his best on these final days. dana, thank you very much. sarah palin was out campaigning
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today. made a surprise visit in west virginia. listen to this. >> now, i know that there has been across the nation, a lot of mud slinging in the campaigns, but it's not negative campaigning to point out your opponent's record. and john's opponent has been all over the map when it comes to the obama agenda. one minute he's for it and the next minute he's aiming his rifle at it. you know, we know where john will be on the issues. he's ready, consistent. he has that strong spine that the rest of those in congress need in order to do the right thing to put government back on your side. we know where john will be. >> john is john raese, facing the incumbent joe manchin. let's go to jessica yellin in las vegas right now. you spent a lot of time in west
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virginia covering that race. that one is pretty close by all indications, jessica. >> it sure is. it's one of those races that was -- has been closely watched. in recent days, democrats have been a bit more cheered by the polling numbers and feel they have a shot at holding onto that one. but it is one of those pickups that could help the senate go into republican hands. we see sarah palin there because she's so good about getting out the base and that's what it's all about, getting out all the voters they can, especially the die hard voters to help turn out and get out the vote. it's happening all over the country this weekend. >> let's talk about nevada a little bit, because it's really tight in nevada. harry reid, he's fighting for his political life. sharron angle, the republican tea party favorite has a clear shot. some polls show her ahead of harry reid. let me play a clip of what she's
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saying. >> we know there's going to be shock and awe in washington, d.c. [ applause ] and we're going to have a teachable moment. and the message that we want to send is, in your lame duck session, we want you to do two things -- repeal obama care, and make the tax cuts permanent. [ applause ] >> so that's obviously a very tight race. we'll be watching it throughout tuesday night. both of these candidates are giving it their all in these final hours. >> they are giving it their all and their teams are giving it their all. we are being informed of efforts
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to get out the vote across the state right now. this race could unseat the democratic leader in the senate or keep him in power. but also because nobody, none of the political experts knows which way this race will go. you talk to anybody and they're just waiting to see. sharron angle, i went to that event last night and what was fascinating is she offered no half measures. she's ready toe go, and as she said, shock and awe. >> thank you very much. let's go to alaska where there is a bitter contest. drew griffin is watching it for us in anchorage. what's going on today, drew? >> it's really a division, wolf, of the republican party. you have the gop lisa murkowski, the sitting republican running as a write-in candidate, against the tea party's republican candidate who is on the ballot,
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joe miller. and we're showing this raise at a dead heat between these two republicans, scott mcadams, the democrat that you mentioned, is trailing but he sees some light and that is because the feeling is just in the last week and a half, many people are telling me they're looking at joe miller's campaign, the tea party candidate, backed by sarah palin, as kind of imploding. a bunch of high profile events, a handcuffing of a reporter who was asking him tough questions. then he had to release some of his personnel work files which showed he lied a couple of years ago to state inspectors involved with an interoffice thing and they feel that murkowski has the momentum if alaskans will write her name on that ballot. >> how precise do they have to be when they write her name, do they have to spell murkowski perfectly? >> well, that is the big
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question mark. if it gets down and dirty, the miller camp is going to question every ballot, but murkowski's campaign is handing out these bracelets with her name spelled correctly. the elections division says if they get close, if we can judge that it was their intent to spell this right, there you go. voters, the alaska supreme court announced that voters can ask what i'm calling a cheat sheet with the write-in candidate's names, although now there's 161 of them, believe it or not. >> guys, stand by. we have a lot more to cover tonight. john king is standing by over at our election matrix. the balance of power in the senate and the house is up. we'll see what happens. stand by, our special coverage continues right after this. [ j. weissman ] it was 1975.
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37 senate seats up for grabs tuesday night. 37 governors races up for grabs. all 435 seats in the house of representatives up for grabs tuesday night. cnn's john king is over here at what we're calling our election matrix. a new tool we have to explain what's going on. john, tell our viewers what you're looking for tuesday. >> wolf, groundbreaking technology to map out the race for the house of representatives. we're going to start by looking at the cnn 100. if you look at these races here, these are the 100 most competitive congressional races coast to coast, east to west, north to south. it's a tough year for the democrats.
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of the 100 races, see the blue? all these blue seats are held by democrats. 91 of the 100 held by democrats. 75 of them are democratic income incumbents. wolf, one of the things we think for is the last two classes of democrats that came to washington. see them here. the class of 2008. i'll slide this over more. see the class of 2006. it's the 2006 class that made nancy pelosi speaker. the 2008 class barack obama brought in on his coattails. there are 53 democrats in our cnn 100 from those two classes. let's look at things we'll look for as races unfold. here's a race we'll look for early on to see is there going to be a gop wave? patrick murray in the class of 2006 came in helped make nancy pelosi speaker. his district is in the philadelphia suburbs. barack obama carried those suburbs hugely. watch this race. barack obama got 54% of the vote. if mike fitzpatrick can have a comeback, in that district, republicans are starting in the eastern part of the country with a big night. that's one to watch, wolf. we'll watch this closely. let's move back over here within
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the class. another class of 2006 we'll watch is ohio's 18th district. zach space is your congressman there. there are a handful of seats, a half dozen in ohio the republicans are targeting. one of the reasons this race is targeted, bring up the results from 2008, that's a john mccain seat. there are a lot of seats democrats won for congress but john mccain carried for president. republicans are saying in a midterm election year that's where we want to look. that's from the class of 2006. let's look at a couple from the class of 2008. we come over further. here's one i'll be watching closely. this is where the president campaigned last night. tom perriello's district in the state of virginia. why is this so important? he won, tom perriello when he carried his seat. if we can get this to click up a little bit, john mccain again, 51% there. that's a key target for the republicans. one more in the state of virginia, wolf, as we go east to west on election night, is gerry connolly's district. you can walk to his district from the district of columbia.
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washington, d.c., suburbs have become moderate and democratic. this is a seat republicans are targeting. he always has a tough race. here's what you want to look for on election night in a place like this. if you have the republicans starting to win seats barack obama carried big, 57% of the vote barack obama carried. wolf, if the republicans are starting to pick up seats like this as we go east to west that would be a sign of a republican wave. >> some republicans are hoping not only for a wave, they're hoping for a tsunami. we'll see if that get that wave then we'll move on. john, don't go too for away. we have a lot more we're looking at right now including the analysis from the best political team on television. joe johns is here with that team. we'll talk to them when we come back. [ female announcer ] it's endless shrimp at red lobster. indulge in endless servings of your favorite shrimp. including crunchy new parmesan shrimp
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amazing midterm election cycle. the tea party movement clearly so important, especially for republicans. joe johns is here together with the best political team on television. joe, we covered politics for a long time. i don't remember a midterm that has had these kinds of elements including the expense, what, $4 billion spent? >> absolutely unprecedented. when you think about it, wolf, perhaps 1994 is something you can compare it to. there are many differences that make it so much bigger. now, let's talk to the best political team on television. don't laugh at me, folks. here we go. we'll start with candy crowley,
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the host of course of our weekend program "state of the union." ed rowlands, republican analyst who's been on cnn for so long. john avalon, you and i came in from the airport with the "daily beast." gloria borger. and errol louis. jump ball, guys. the simple question is the tea party. what are they going to do presuming they have big gains particularly in the house of representatives on the day they're sworn in? how much do we know about what kind of governing is going to happen? will there be gridlock? >> the tea party basically when you look at who they are, they're republican primary voters. look at all of our polling and you'll see they are largely men over 50, conservative, very often southern. and they're self-identified as republicans. tea party candidates coming in are not going to be compromisers. they're going to say we were sent here for a reason so
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republican leaders, we're going to want to do something that makes our mark. >> how different really is this from the things we've heard before from republicans? ronald reagan and others? >> i think they're very much the goldwater became the reagan movement in '76. when reagan finally got elected in '80 the bush team became the republican establishment. i think that these people, their frustration was not so much with obama. they were expecting what he did. they were frustrated with the republican establishment not living up to commitments on fiscal issues, spending too much money. i think there will be a conservative movement. >> what are they going to do when they get into power if and when they get into power? movements always start off with sharp edges. somehow when they get into the mix of things those edges round off. guess what, there are going to be more mainstream republicans as they talk about than there will be tea party republicans. >> have the republicans sort of coopted the tea party movement?
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>> the tea party movement began as a conservative movement angry at the republican establishment. now it's fuelling the republican wave. the real question is going to be, is the tea party movement driving the agenda, keeping focused on fiscal issues alone or do they end up actually being driven and some way used as a trojan horse by social conservatives? >> social movements go out of business once their goal has been established. if their goal -- we don't really know. if their goal was simply to sort of get an in effect a recount of 2008, adjust the makeup of congress, push the republican party farther to the right then they go out of business after tuesday. it may have larger goals and longer staying power. >> they're going to have to say we're here, we're in town, we're different. what i think you're going to see you're going to see people say, we need to cut the budget. an across the board sort of 2% budget cut. say, this is what we want to do to get us started and republican
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leadership will be with them. >> say their vote doesn't live up to expectations. there are people out there talking 65, 60, whatever. what do you think, will they still have that high a par to climb? >> they're going to be players. the important thing here is this was a movement led without leaders. many of these people would have still won the nomination. out of delaware, two-thirds of the republican voters in delaware are conservative voters. as much as they like mike castle they're not going to vote for mike castle in a primary. at the end of the day this is the way the races turned out. there are good candidates who would have won the nomination. the movement helped them get across the board but they weren't picked out of the woods somewhere. >> who's going to put them in office? independents. they have to be careful. >> there's a lot more to talk about here. thanks so much. wolf, back to you. there was a huge rally on the mall in washington, d.c., today. jon stewart and stephen colbert leading all the festivities. we're going there right after this. [ indistinct conversations ]
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jon stewart was at the rally. he hosted the rally together with stephen colbert on the mall in washington, d.c. the restore sanity and/or fear rally. it was a combination of comedy, also music, but at the end jon stewart, himself, got serious. listen to this. >> jon, my fear bunker is 2,000 feet below the stage. i'm right below you. encased in solid bedrock. >> come up. we've got a rally to do. come up. just come. it's easy. >> no, jon, i can't. i'm too afraid. >> no, there's nothing to be
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afraid of. what are you afraid of? >> well, mostly i'm afraid that no one showed up to our rally. >> uh, i think you're okay there. ♪ >> that was the funny sound bite. there were serious sound bites as well. let's go to pete dominic. he watched it all unfold. he's still there. you have the u.s. capitol behind you. he did get serious at the end there. didn't he, pete? he delivered a very robust statement about what he thought was the insanity going on in the world of politics today. >> reporter: he did, wolf, but -- he did, wolf, but he did what he always does and he threw some jokes in there. there weren't a lot, but that's what we do as comedians. you know, we have sometimes an important and serious message we want to deliver, but to keep people interested and keep people entertained sometimes you throw a joke in there, sometimes it's ironic, sometimes it's
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cynical. it's there to prove a point. that's what we can do as comedians and sometimes political commentators. it's all mixed up and it's your job to guess what we're trying to get at, wolf. >> talk a little bit, pete, about the crowd. there were thousands and thousands of people there. i have no idea how many were there. i assume they were mostly young people. did you get a sense of the political affiliation of those people who were there? >> reporter: well, actually that's my expertise, wolf blitzer. i actually -- i warmed up the audiences at the "colbert report" and the "daily show" for years and i was in front of those audiences every night. the audience today, people here today were just as it was at the shows, at the tapings in new york. to be honest with you, wolf, they were old and young, there were african-americans, arab-americans, asian-americans, there were a lot of white people, there was a lot of hilarious americans with funny signs. there were, you know, of course there were probably more younger people, but there was a lot of 40, 50.
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i talked to a lot of 60 and over people making jokes about medicare and so on. there were a lot of different demographics. in terms of politics it was as you expected. probably more left leaning with the signs but there were a lot of really, really interesting perspectives. the main was unification. jon stewart and stephen colbert did what president obama has been trying to do for a long time. >> you will get a kick out of this. you used to work for comedy central. early comedy central put out a press release before anyone showed up on the mall. they already estimated the crowd size as 400 million. that was comedy central. so they obviously knew what they were talking about. all right. go ahead. >> reporter: jon stewart came out, one of the first things he said after he said pick up your litter, everybody, don't leave litter here. there were a lot of people picking up garbage. one of the first things he said, it's great to be here, there are 10 million people to be here. >> less than 400 million.
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thanks very much, pete, for that. john avalon was over at the rally, himself, today. we'll get his views and a lot more. stand by. it's work through the grime and the muck, month. tow and pull without getting stuck month. sweat every day to make an honest buck month. it's truck month. great deals on the complete family of chevy trucks. during truck month, use your all-star edition discount for a total value of six thousand dollars. or hurry in before november 1st to get 0% apr financing on all 2011 trucks and full-size suvs. see your local chevrolet dealer.
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president obama can certainly bring out a big crowd especially in his hometown of chicago. they're gathering at this park near the university of chicago right now to hear president obama. he's getting ready to speak at this political rally. let's go over to cnn's joe johns. he has the best team on television, including john avalon, who was at the jon stewart, stephen colbert rally. >> the first thing we have to say was it really 400 million people? probably not, right. >> it was maybe 400,000 people. no, it was a remarkable turnout. i mean, it was -- i've covered the beck rally and one nation rally, conservative and liberal rallies.
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this was at least equal of the beck rally. it was opposite the mall so hard to do the knew macros. this crowd was packed. it was an optimistic crowd, a heartening crowd. they put humor ahead of everything else. >> this is the question, though. does this translate into some type of a political phenomenon we can actually explore? >> did anybody ask at the rally, i'm curious, how many of those people were going to vote? you know? because those are -- >> just a party crowd or not? >> were they going to vote? >> there was a political message underneath all this. the people who feel politically homeless in today's debates, feel alienated about the ways the extremes, they came out there today. they're all civically engaged folks. >> i feel like i've heard this type of thing as far back as richard nixon, the silent of majority. >> different names. right.
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well, the word narrative has probably been used too much in this campaign. the question here really is, when you take the rally in context and everything else that's going on, is anything going to change between now and election day? do we think it's written in stone? >> there's a few undecided voters but they're very small. it's down to 4%, 5% who make up their mind the last weekend. i'd be surprised if there's that many. the critical thing is who's going to vote? are you going to get up on tuesday and go vote if you haven't already? maybe this helps today something like this. most people have made up their mind. >> usually in the midterm elections the people the most energized are the people with the most gripes. those are the tea party voters, republican voters. >> john king talked a little while ago about the joe miller thing going on in alaska. there are races that could change direction just a little bit. >> the point and fact of today's
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rally, you see it in polls across the nation as well, there are people who have sort of a silent gripe. they don't like the way the conversation is going on. they don't like a lot of the negative campaigning. and we don't know what they're going to do. we don't know who's going to -- >> since everyone's taking part in the dialogue that they don't like, it's a little difficult to figure out where they're going to go. you know, in terms of the overall question, is anything going to shift? of those 4% that are undivided or undecided, 2% are going to stay home. if you're this undecided at this point -- >> the responsible thing, look, it doesn't matter until tuesday. it ain't over until it's over. even though we have the polls and know the trends and you can say that with some degree of predictability, it matters who shows up on tuesday. >> this is why the campaign has gotten so nasty because if the democrats don't have an issue set they think they can run on it's not working for them, then what they've got to do is attack the credibility and the ethics of their opponents and that's what we --
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>> which leads me to -- >> not that republicans don't do nasty ads. >> which leads to the next question which is nastiest races. there are a lot of them out there obviously. every time i look at another ad i think that's the nastiest race. what do you guys think? >> well, rand paul versus jack conway in kentucky. talk about, you know, a democrat trying to disqualify his republican opponent. using the famous ad which one republican said to me has now become sort of a description that all ad guys use saying, oh, don't aqua buddha -- don't go overboard. >> the race that matters the most in this country in the sense of the symbolism is the harry reid race. it's been a negative race from the beginning. he went out and hammered the party favorite sue lowden, knocked her out of the primary, got the candidate he wanted, angle. thought he was going to beat her easily. she came back. it's been a nasty knockdown
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drag-out, in a state like nevada probably $50 million will be spent by the end. i don't think anyone's can be nastier than that. >> have the democrats had to lean on personal attacks more? >> absolutely. as we were just saying when you -- the issues don't test well for them. there are a handful of democrats using health care to promote their campaigns. who's using stimulus? who's using bailouts? nobody. >> errol, this race question about the tea party and others. the naacp has brought it up, it's been attacked, knocked down. it hasn't gone away. >> we've crossed a threshold, there are so many individual instances of it all over the nation that it doesn't -- it doesn't -- it's become normalized in this race. >> will it compel african-americans to vote? >> that's an open question there. there are 20 of the tossup states that have 15% to 20%-plus african-american voters. nevada is a case in point.
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black voters if they come out, they're about 8% of the registered base. if they come out and they often do over that percentage, 10%, 12%, they can save harry reid. there's interesting dynamics going on about how that plays out. >> the global question, nastiest, nastiest midterm in a generation or not? >> nastiest in my history. i go back four decades. it's nasty, sustained across the board. in 2008 there was a great bush fatigue and obama became a positive vote for the people who voted for him. many people are voting for republican to get rid of democrats. it's not necessarily a positive republican vote. >> you pair that with the idea the democrats have not been in these swing places because they are in the normally democratic places day are talking about health care and any number of things. in these swing areas the democrats can't talk about these things that gloria just talked about. that's why it's so negative. is because it's kind of -- to quote our colleague bob schieffer, is that all you've got? >> candy, i have to say with you now. you'll be talking about these
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and others issues on "state of the union." can you tell us who you're going to have on? >> we're going to have on the number two democrat on the senate side. we're going to give him that last at-bat and see where they think they're headed. >> thanks so all of you. wolf, back to you. >> joe, thanks very much. plenty of nasty races out there. there's also been very smart substantive races out there including, for example, in california or pennsylvania, ohio. some of these races have been on the issues which is obviously good. but there have been plenty of nasty races and this has been very, very expensive for all those politicians as we all know as well. much more of our special coverage, "america votes 2010." only three days to go until the polls close. we'll continue right after this.
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this weekend cnn is airing a unique documentary about the tea party movement. our political producer shannon travis has spent a lot of time over these past many months with the tea party movement across the country. shannon is joining us right now. shannon, give us a little preview of what we can expect. >> well, wolf, whether americans support or oppose the tea party movement, i don't think there's any doubt it will go down in history. i have had the chance, cnn has allowed me to cover this movement for the last 18 months. i've been embedded with them. basically you and our viewers will be seeing what i have been seeing over these past few months and they're literally things you have not seen ever about the tea party movement before. >> it's absolutely true. let me play a little clip for our viewers. >> today is the kickoff of the
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fourth tour of the tea party express. and where are they kicking it off at? sarah palin, she's the headliner for today's event. this is essentially her political base. i mean, she is the darling of the movement in terms of getting the message out. sarah palin can do it like no other. >> politicians who are in office today, you, some of you need to man up, the big whigs within the machine. they're driving me crazy because they're too chicken to come out and support the tea party candidates. now, old glory has never flown higher or prouder than where you have put her, tea party patriots. >> sarah, sarah! sarah, sarah! >> governor, what if the tea party winds up splitting the republican party in two? who do you stand with?
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>> i don't think it will. the machine within the gop is going to understand this we the people message is rising. and it's resonating throughout. independents with hardcore conservatives, with moderates because it's so full of common sense and time tested truth so it can put the economy on the right track. heaven forbid the gop machine strays from this message. and so the gop is through. >> let's go back to shannon. all the time you spent with these members of the tea party movement, did you get a sense they were simply republicans or conservatives, were there democrats who were disillusioned let's say who were part of this movement as well? >> it's an excellent question. there's no doubt the majority of the supporters are republicans. our public polling reflects the same thing. about 5% democrat, but tea party activists argue that number is growing by the day. they say their message is appealing to more and more independents and more and more
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democrats are coming on board. in my travels with the movement, i've only met a few democrats who are on board and maybe just a handful who have said i voted for obama and now i'm a part of this movement. >> largely white, is that right? did you see a lot of minority members in that movement? >> absolutely, mostly white. the polling we've seen the past 18 months reflects that. but the african-americans, the minorities that are there are proud to be there. they feel that the tea party message of limited government, returning to the constitution is something that could attract more minorities. >> boiling point is going to air throughout the weekend here on cnn. shannon, excellent work. thanks so much for doing it. we're going to take another break. when we come back, we're going back to john king. he's at our cnn election matrix. stand by for that. [ male announcer ] the next big thing from lexus is not a car. it's the idea that a car that will never have an accident
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now, live from the cnn election center, wolf blitzer. >> we're getting ready for our special election coverage that will begin tuesday. one of the important tools we'll have is this new cnn election matrix. john king is working that technology for us. some special things you're looking at. >> how deep of a republican wave is this, if it's wave? fuller one. number two, the big democratic classes of 2006 and 2008, do they get washed away? and how far back in time will democratic seats be in trouble? i'm going to go back to the class of 1994. this was patrick kennedy's seat in rhode island. if that seat goes republican, we'll know that early, it's the beginning of a big republican wave.
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you see 2004, 2006, here, all the way to the class of 2008, give you another race to watch as we come back over. this is michigan seven. president obama carried michigan. this one is a very competitive rare. look at the results here in the 2008 presidential election. 52% for barack obama. if the democrats are losing seats like that, it's a sign of big trouble for the party. over here to the wall. something to look for, i'm going to use ohio and pennsylvania as our examples here. these are two states where the republicans think they can pick up three, maybe four seats in pennsylvania. these are the house races right now. i'm going to circle some seats. these blue districts are targeted by republicans. there are two or three down here in philadelphia. now over to ohio. i want to show you some areas here, as well.
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these are blue democratic seats targeted by republicans. what's the point i'm trying to make here? two things to watch for in the lek trun. -- election. you see right here, president obama carried these areas for president. john mccain in ohio, the akron districts down here, these are three districts if the democrats can take back areas will john mccain performed very well. back over to pennsylvania. this one more important. this was such democratic territory. all obama here. mostly obama up here. can the republicans take seats right here? democratic congressional districts, areas obama won in 2008. but watch this. let's go back to the democratic primary. that light blue is districts where white, blue collar workers supported hillary clinton. republicans believe this is the
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part of the country in pennsylvania and across the country where they can have a lot of gains on election day. the republicans believe white, blue collar workers increasingly moving away from the president. so we'll watch that as we go across the country. this is your democratic primaries in 2008. here's how it turned out on presidential day. this is the map going in right here. all the blue, those are democratic congressional seats. the republicans believe on the eve of the weekend before this election they could gain as many as 50 or more, given their late weekend polling. some of them think as high as 55 seats. >> they need a net gain of 39 and john boehner would become the speaker of the house of representatives. pennsylvania and ohio, not only important as far as the balance of power is concerned, but if president obama wants to get re-elected, he needs those states. >> the republicans feel very
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confident if you just look at this part of the country, a lot more blue than up in here. watch that in the early returns. >> what you're seeing is by 8:00, 9:00, we'll have an indication whether it's a wave or tidal wave or a tsunami. >> republicans have about 25, 30 targets right here. >> john will be with us on tuesday and tomorrow. we have a special by the way tomorrow at 9:00 p.m. eastern. another preview of what's going on. tomorrow morning, 9:00 a.m. eastern "state of the union" with candy crawley. on tuesday, "the situation room" 5:00 p.m. eastern. our coverage begins 7:00 p.m. eastern. the results will start coming in and we'll be here throughout the night. this is going to be an important, exciting day in the world of american politics. we hope you will join all of us here at cnn for complete

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